Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs SV Motor Altenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
WIS
0 - 2
ERF
38%
22%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
ERF
3 - 0
BFM
52%
21%
27%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
BFM
0 - 3
ERF
69%
16%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
ERF
4 - 0
SVD
46%
22%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
FMS
2 - 6
ERF
30%
22%
48%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
SV Motor Altenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
BSA
2 - 3
ABS
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
LAS
0 - 1
BSA
48%
21%
31%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
ZWI
1 - 0
BSA
24%
21%
55%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
HAL
3 - 3
BSA
52%
20%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
BSA
0 - 1
LAS
42%
22%
37%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |