Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Motor Suhl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1985 |
BFC
4 - 2
ERF
83%
11%
6%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
ERF
3 - 3
SGD
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
CHE
0 - 1
ERF
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
ERF
3 - 3
LOK
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
BSV
0 - 2
ERF
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
BSG Motor Suhl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1985 |
BMS
0 - 3
MAG
18%
21%
61%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1985 |
BSG
3 - 1
BMS
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
BMS
3 - 1
BWA
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
CHL
4 - 0
BMS
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
BMS
2 - 2
CZJ
25%
27%
49%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |