Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1959 |
ROS
2 - 0
ERF
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1959 |
VOW
3 - 2
ERF
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1959 |
ERF
0 - 0
SAC
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1959 |
BWA
3 - 2
ERF
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
ERF
2 - 0
ZWI
46%
24%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1959 |
BFW
1 - 4
VOW
39%
26%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1959 |
BFW
1 - 1
ROS
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1959 |
BCZ
3 - 1
BFW
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1959 |
BFW
1 - 0
LAS
57%
21%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
LOK
3 - 1
BFW
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |