Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1956 |
BFC
3 - 2
ERF
47%
22%
31%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1956 |
ZWI
1 - 3
ERF
48%
23%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
ERF
4 - 0
SED
56%
21%
23%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
BWA
4 - 1
ERF
62%
19%
18%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
ERF
0 - 0
ABS
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1956 |
BFW
1 - 2
LOK
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1956 |
BFW
3 - 0
BAB
39%
23%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1956 |
SAC
1 - 0
BFW
61%
19%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
VOW
1 - 0
BFW
60%
19%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1956 |
BFW
1 - 1
CHE
87%
9%
4%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | -1 |