Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
SAC
1 - 1
ERF
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
ERF
2 - 2
ROS
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
VOW
3 - 1
ERF
46%
22%
32%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
ERF
2 - 0
BWA
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
ABS
2 - 0
ERF
45%
23%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Weißenfels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
BFW
2 - 1
ZWI
47%
22%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
BFW
1 - 0
LAS
64%
18%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
BFW
0 - 0
VOW
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
CHE
2 - 5
BFW
19%
19%
62%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
BFW
1 - 2
SED
50%
21%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |