Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Fortschritt Meerane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
LOK
0 - 0
ERF
26%
22%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1954 |
ERF
3 - 5
BSS
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
ERF
1 - 0
HAL
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
LAS
0 - 3
ERF
41%
24%
36%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
ERF
3 - 2
BAB
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Meerane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BFM
1 - 1
SVD
56%
21%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
ZWI
3 - 1
BFM
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
BFM
3 - 3
BWA
50%
21%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SGD
1 - 3
BFM
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
BFM
1 - 2
LOK
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |