Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Fortschritt Meerane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SVD
4 - 1
ERF
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1951 |
ERF
1 - 1
ZWI
68%
17%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
FCU
1 - 1
ERF
30%
23%
48%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
ERF
2 - 1
SVL
72%
15%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
ERF
4 - 1
LAS
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Meerane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1951 |
BFM
2 - 1
SVD
35%
22%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
LAS
5 - 1
BFM
51%
20%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
BFM
1 - 3
FCU
67%
18%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
ZWI
2 - 1
BFM
57%
19%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
BFM
0 - 1
BAB
58%
19%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |