Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Fortschritt Meerane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
27.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
BFM
0 - 3
ERF
69%
16%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
ERF
4 - 0
SVD
46%
22%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
FMS
2 - 6
ERF
30%
22%
48%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
ABS
1 - 1
ERF
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ERF
3 - 4
LAS
43%
22%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
BSG Fortschritt Meerane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
BFM
0 - 1
SAC
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
BFM
0 - 3
ERF
69%
16%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
DRE
1 - 2
BFM
28%
22%
51%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SVD
2 - 1
BFM
61%
19%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
BFM
2 - 1
FMS
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | +2 |