Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Böhlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1979 |
SGD
4 - 1
ERF
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 4
MAG
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
BFC
5 - 3
ERF
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
CZJ
1 - 1
ERF
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
ROS
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Chemie Böhlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1979 |
BCB
3 - 2
ROS
56%
24%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1979 |
BSG
1 - 1
BCB
57%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1979 |
BCB
3 - 1
LOK
25%
22%
53%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
ZWI
1 - 0
BCB
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
BCB
1 - 2
FCU
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |