Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Chemie Böhlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
ERF
1 - 0
WIS
72%
18%
11%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
ERF
1 - 0
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
FVF
0 - 0
ERF
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
FCU
0 - 1
ERF
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
ERF
2 - 2
LOK
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Chemie Böhlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1978 |
BCB
4 - 1
FCU
54%
24%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
LOK
6 - 1
BCB
76%
14%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
HAL
4 - 0
BCB
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
BCB
2 - 2
ZWI
51%
22%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
BWA
2 - 1
BCB
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |