Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
68.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
EBT
1 - 1
ERF
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2008 |
ERF
0 - 1
SGD
50%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
ERF
0 - 4
F95
50%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2008 |
ROT
0 - 0
ERF
45%
26%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ERF
1 - 1
LUB
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
BVB
2 - 1
BYM
10%
16%
74%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
BYM
4 - 1
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MSV
2 - 3
BYM
15%
21%
64%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
BYM
2 - 0
ARB
74%
18%
9%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
WOL
0 - 0
BYM
19%
23%
59%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |