Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs 1860 München II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
WEH
2 - 1
ERF
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
SPO
2 - 1
ERF
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
ERF
0 - 0
CZJ
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
ERF
2 - 0
VFR
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
SCH
0 - 1
ERF
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
1860 München II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
186
1 - 3
EIN
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
SSV
1 - 1
186
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
186
1 - 1
WAC
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
DAR
2 - 1
186
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2000 |
186
3 - 1
ELV
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |