Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
FVF
5 - 1
ERF
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
ERF
2 - 0
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
HAL
1 - 0
ERF
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 1987 |
ERF
2 - 1
SGD
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
ROS
3 - 2
ERF
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
FCU
0 - 0
BSG
51%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
CZJ
2 - 1
FCU
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
FCU
2 - 1
BSV
48%
27%
25%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
FCU
0 - 4
BFC
10%
19%
71%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1987 |
FVF
1 - 1
FCU
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |