Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
BFC
3 - 3
ERF
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1983 |
MAG
2 - 1
ERF
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
ERF
1 - 1
ROS
69%
19%
13%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
ERF
4 - 0
FCU
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1983 |
ROS
2 - 1
ERF
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
MAG
5 - 0
FCU
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1983 |
FCU
3 - 3
CZJ
20%
26%
54%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1983 |
CHE
4 - 0
FCU
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1983 |
ERF
4 - 0
FCU
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1983 |
FCU
2 - 0
SGD
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +2 |