Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
LOK
0 - 2
ERF
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
ERF
1 - 0
BWA
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
ERF
1 - 2
HAL
42%
25%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
ERF
4 - 0
ZWI
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
CZJ
1 - 1
ERF
77%
15%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
FCU
0 - 2
HAL
27%
28%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1980 |
ZWI
2 - 0
FCU
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
FCU
1 - 1
CZJ
20%
28%
52%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1979 |
FCU
0 - 1
FVF
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
BFC
2 - 0
FCU
85%
10%
5%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |