Rot-Weiß Erfurt II vs Wacker Gotha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 0
ROT
45%
24%
30%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
ROT
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
3 - 1
FCH
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DYN
2 - 4
ROT
42%
24%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Wacker Gotha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
LOK
3 - 0
WAG
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WAG
2 - 0
VFL
51%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
5 - 0
WAG
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
WAG
0 - 6
ZWI
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
WAG
0 - 0
BUD
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |