Rot-Weiß Erfurt II vs Luckenwalde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AUE
3 - 1
ROT
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 1
SAC
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VFL
0 - 3
ROT
30%
23%
47%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
LOK
1 - 1
ROT
28%
24%
48%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 3
ROT
22%
22%
57%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Luckenwalde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
WAG
1 - 0
LUC
20%
21%
59%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 3
ZWI
65%
19%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BDR
2 - 4
LUC
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 1
MAG
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
LUC
4 - 1
SAC
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |