Rot-Weiß Erfurt II vs Erzgebirge Aue II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
GRU
2 - 4
ROT
10%
17%
73%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
ZWI
34%
27%
39%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
BUD
0 - 2
ROT
33%
25%
41%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 2
CHE
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 0
WAG
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2012 |
ERZ
2 - 3
ZWI
21%
25%
54%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BUD
3 - 0
ERZ
56%
24%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
ERZ
4 - 1
WAG
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 1
CHE
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AUE
2 - 0
ERZ
72%
17%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |