Rot-Weiß Erfurt II vs Eilenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiß Erfurt II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
BDR
2 - 1
ROT
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
ROT
3 - 2
HAL
21%
24%
56%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
SAC
2 - 1
ROT
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
ROT
0 - 1
CHE
30%
24%
47%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ROT
1 - 5
BDR
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
Eilenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
EIL
1 - 0
GER
31%
25%
45%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SVD
1 - 0
EIL
75%
17%
8%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
EIL
1 - 1
BUD
35%
25%
39%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
ZWI
1 - 2
EIL
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
TSV
1 - 0
EIL
32%
25%
43%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -2 |