Rostov U16 vs Spartak Moskva U16 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
7º
4º
55
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
89.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
84.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rostov U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KRA
1 - 0
ROS
65%
18%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ROS
8 - 3
MSK
90%
7%
3%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SAT
0 - 7
ROS
19%
19%
62%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ROS
2 - 2
SSZ
92%
6%
2%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KON
0 - 4
ROS
14%
17%
70%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva U16
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SMO
3 - 2
CHE
68%
16%
16%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ZEN
3 - 0
SMO
72%
15%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RKZ
1 - 4
SMO
15%
18%
67%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SMO
2 - 2
KRA
34%
21%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MSK
1 - 4
SMO
7%
13%
80%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | +1 |