Rostocker FC vs Tasmania Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
15º
15º
37
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
83.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rostocker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HZE
7 - 0
RFC
82%
12%
5%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RFC
4 - 5
TUM
26%
22%
53%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 2
RFC
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 1
SCS
44%
23%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAH
7 - 2
RFC
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Tasmania Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
TAS
1 - 1
RSV
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 2
TAS
26%
22%
52%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 2
LIC
12%
18%
70%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ANK
2 - 0
TAS
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
3 - 1
OPT
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |