Rostocker FC vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
61%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
15º
15º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
83.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rostocker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
RFC
2 - 6
RSV
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 4
RFC
24%
21%
55%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RFC
0 - 8
LIC
7%
15%
78%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ANK
6 - 2
RFC
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 4
OPT
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SVS
1 - 5
HZE
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RSV
1 - 3
SVS
32%
22%
46%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SVS
3 - 1
TUM
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
SVS
16%
18%
66%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SVS
6 - 1
NEU
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |