Rostocker FC vs Dynamo Schwerin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
15º
15º
28
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
83.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rostocker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TAS
4 - 0
RFC
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 5
HZE
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TUM
1 - 2
RFC
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
RFC
2 - 1
NEU
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 8
HEI
3%
8%
89%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Schwerin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 2
RSV
30%
22%
49%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
DSC
1 - 4
OPT
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
DSC
62%
18%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DSC
0 - 5
LIC
16%
17%
68%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
ANK
2 - 1
DSC
36%
22%
42%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |