Rostocker FC vs Staaken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
3º
15º
15º
32
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
83.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rostocker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAH
7 - 2
RFC
48%
23%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TEN
2 - 1
RFC
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 5
RFC
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FMS
1 - 0
RFC
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RFC
3 - 1
SVS
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Staaken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SCS
2 - 0
RSV
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
SCS
4 - 1
UNI
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
SCS
9 - 2
SSV
12%
16%
72%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LIC
4 - 0
SCS
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SCS
2 - 0
ANK
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |