Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
TER
1 - 3
RPO
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 1
USF
14%
23%
62%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
RPO
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 0
PAL
13%
24%
63%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
FCC
1 - 0
RPO
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 1
JUS
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
USV
1 - 2
FRA
36%
28%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
FRA
3 - 1
TUR
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |