Coppa Italia Serie D Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Potenza Calcio vs San Donato Tavarnelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FBC
0 - 1
RPO
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 0
SSE
81%
14%
6%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FCF
3 - 2
RPO
12%
21%
67%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RPO
1 - 0
SAR
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
AUD
0 - 2
RPO
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
San Donato Tavarnelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MPO
0 - 0
SDT
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SDT
1 - 1
URI
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SDT
2 - 0
FBC
60%
20%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MAS
0 - 2
SDT
56%
23%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SDT
0 - 1
SAV
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |