Ross County FC vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
11º
11º
28
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 48 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 42 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 39 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 35 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 14% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97% | 86% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ross County FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STJ
3 - 0
ROS
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
CEL
22%
22%
56%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 1
ROS
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 3
STJ
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 0
DUN
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 0
GLA
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 3
KIL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KIL
3 - 3
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
STM
2 - 2
KIL
40%
29%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |