Ross County FC vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
12º
12º
31
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ross County FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 0
ROS
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MHE
1 - 1
ROS
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ROS
0 - 2
LIV
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 0
ROS
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 0
ROS
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
KIL
1 - 0
DUM
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 3
GLA
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
KIL
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 0
KIL
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
KIL
0 - 0
STM
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |