Ross County FC vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ross County FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
KIL
0 - 4
ROS
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ROS
1 - 2
HOM
44%
27%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
STJ
1 - 1
ROS
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ROS
2 - 0
HAM
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
ROS
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STR
1 - 2
AYR
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
AYR
0 - 2
GLA
13%
19%
68%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 1
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
ALB
3 - 0
AYR
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
AYR
2 - 0
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +2 |