Roskilde vs Nykøbing FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
3º
3º
40
6º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
59 | 18 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
72 | 16 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 16 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
AKA
3 - 3
ROS
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 0
MID
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ESB
3 - 2
ROS
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ROS
6 - 2
AAF
33%
25%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
ROS
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nykøbing FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
LFA
1 - 4
AAF
17%
22%
62%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
AKA
1 - 1
LFA
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MID
2 - 0
LFA
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
LFA
2 - 1
ESB
13%
20%
68%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
LFA
0 - 1
AKA
41%
25%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |