Roskilde vs AC Horsens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
12º
11º
15
2º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 54 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 39 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 30 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 30 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 30 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 29 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 28 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
12º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 52.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 2
ROS
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 2
HOB
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 2
ROS
14%
18%
68%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
HIL
2 - 0
ROS
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
KFU
0 - 5
ROS
6%
12%
83%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 1
KOL
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 2
ACH
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KJE
0 - 5
ACH
10%
16%
74%
|
64 | 30 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
0 - 1
ACH
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
ACH
3 - 2
HIL
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |