Roskilde vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
12º
11º
1
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 54 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 39 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 30 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 30 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 30 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 29 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 28 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
12º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OBK
3 - 2
ROS
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 0
HVI
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 2
ROS
10%
16%
75%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
ESB
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
ROS
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HBK
0 - 2
VEN
28%
24%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
HBK
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
ALL
0 - 2
HBK
8%
14%
79%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HBK
3 - 4
FRE
14%
19%
67%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
4 - 1
HBK
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |