Roskilde vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
VEJ
2 - 0
ROS
62%
22%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ROS
1 - 0
KBK
34%
25%
41%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
NAE
1 - 2
ROS
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ROS
3 - 3
FYN
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
AGF
2 - 0
ROS
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAE
0 - 0
FRE
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
2 - 1
FYN
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
AGF
1 - 0
FRE
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
1 - 3
SKI
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
AKA
0 - 4
FRE
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |