Roskilde vs Fredericia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
HVI
2 - 0
ROS
47%
26%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ROS
0 - 4
AMA
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
SIF
2 - 0
ROS
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ROS
1 - 0
KBK
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
LFA
2 - 2
ROS
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fredericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
FRE
0 - 2
LYN
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
FRE
4 - 1
HVI
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
AMA
2 - 2
FRE
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 2
SIF
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
KBK
0 - 3
FRE
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |