Roskilde vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
12º
11º
18
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 52 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
18 | 42 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 37 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 31 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 31 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 30 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 30 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 27 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 26 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
4 | 19 |
11º
|
51% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 10 |
12º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
ROS
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 2
ACH
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
3 - 2
ROS
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 2
HOB
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 2
ROS
14%
18%
68%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
4 - 1
HBK
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 2
ESB
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ESB
3 - 1
VEN
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
4 - 0
ESB
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 8
ESB
2%
6%
92%
|
70 | 24 | 46 | 0 |