Roskilde vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
5º
2º
59
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 1
HEL
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
ROS
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ROS
2 - 0
AKA
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BFR
0 - 1
ROS
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ROS
1 - 1
SKI
68%
19%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 4
VFF
21%
22%
57%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 0
BRA
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FA2
1 - 2
ESB
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 4
LFA
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
NIB
1 - 2
ESB
5%
10%
86%
|
60 | 7 | 53 | 0 |