Roskilde vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
10º
10º
48
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 3
ROS
2%
6%
91%
|
58 | 10 | 48 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
THI
1 - 1
ROS
20%
23%
57%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ROS
0 - 0
KOL
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
B93
3 - 1
ROS
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ROS
3 - 0
AKA
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
AAF
9%
15%
76%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
0 - 1
ESB
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 3
AAF
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 1
FRE
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
THI
0 - 4
AAF
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |