Rosengård vs Ariana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
29.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
4º
13º
7º
29
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 68 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 49 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 22 |
16º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosengård
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TVA
1 - 2
ROS
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 0
ANG
39%
26%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LJU
1 - 3
ROS
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
4 - 0
ROS
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 0
ESK
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 2
TIK
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OSK
4 - 3
AFC
43%
24%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 1
TVA
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 2
GÖT
9%
16%
75%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 2
AFC
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |