Rosenborg BK vs Lillestrom SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
11º
5º
21
4º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 54 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 40 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 37 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
14º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
22% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
35% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
2% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
75.5% | 64% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RBK
2 - 1
VKG
32%
24%
45%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 0
RBK
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 0
TRO
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
2 - 2
RBK
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 0
MUD
8%
16%
76%
|
78 | 95 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lillestrom SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STR
3 - 2
LSK
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LSK
1 - 2
MFK
31%
24%
45%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
KRI
2 - 1
LSK
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LSK
2 - 2
S08
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
LSK
3 - 1
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |