Europa League 1/16
Global 4-4
Rosenborg BK vs Lierse SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
BBS
0 - 1
RBK
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1971 |
RBK
0 - 0
STR
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1971 |
LYN
2 - 2
RBK
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
HIF
0 - 1
RBK
27%
22%
51%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
RBK
1 - 0
FFK
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lierse SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
LIE
0 - 0
DIE
69%
20%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
LIE
2 - 2
STR
64%
21%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
MOL
1 - 0
LIE
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
LEE
0 - 4
LIE
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
LIE
0 - 1
CER
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |