Rosario Central SE vs Aracaju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
34%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
3 - 0
SOC
65%
18%
17%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SOC
0 - 4
ROS
25%
21%
54%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
0 - 2
SEF
38%
22%
41%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
ROS
24%
21%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ROS
2 - 1
MAR
30%
21%
49%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aracaju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 3
ARA
60%
19%
20%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
ROS
24%
21%
55%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
SOC
1 - 3
ARA
44%
22%
34%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ARA
0 - 1
SEF
21%
19%
60%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 3
ROS
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | -1 |