Rosario Central II vs Patronato II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
ROC
44%
25%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ROC
0 - 0
ARG
40%
24%
36%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TAL
3 - 2
ROC
40%
24%
36%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ROC
0 - 1
SLO
59%
21%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 2
ROC
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Patronato II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
2 - 1
RAC
40%
25%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 2
PAT
64%
20%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 1
PAT
54%
24%
22%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PAT
0 - 0
EST
25%
25%
50%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAT
66%
20%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |