Rosariense DC vs Academica Fogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosariense DC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
ACA
2 - 0
ROS
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ROS
0 - 4
AAM
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
AAM
2 - 2
ROS
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SPR
1 - 4
ROS
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 1
GDV
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Academica Fogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
ACA
6 - 1
JCN
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 1
ACA
56%
24%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -8 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 1
ACA
39%
27%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 1
CSM
32%
28%
40%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 1
CSM
31%
28%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |