Roncalli vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+144%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roncalli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
RON
9%
16%
74%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
RON
0 - 1
CAS
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
RON
1 - 2
TRA
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 2
RON
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RON
2 - 1
RHO
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 0
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
ALC
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 1
ALC
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
UBO
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |