Romanese vs Pol. Ciliverghe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
74.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LEV
3 - 1
ROM
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 1
TRE
31%
22%
48%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PER
1 - 0
ROM
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 0
BUS
11%
17%
73%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
SCA
2 - 1
ROM
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pol. Ciliverghe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 3
REZ
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LEC
1 - 1
PSM
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 3
DAR
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LEV
2 - 1
PSM
27%
26%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PSM
2 - 1
TRE
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |