Romagna Centro vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romagna Centro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UAR
2 - 0
ROM
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 1
VIN
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 0
ROM
75%
15%
10%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAM
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ROM
0 - 1
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
LEN
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RIB
3 - 2
VIL
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
PAR
6%
16%
79%
|
29 | 78 | 49 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AVI
2 - 0
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |