Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Roma vs NK Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
12.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 0
ROM
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
LAZ
0 - 0
ROM
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 1
ROM
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
ZAG
1 - 1
ROM
50%
23%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
NK Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
ZAG
1 - 1
ROM
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1964 |
GRA
0 - 6
ZAG
44%
22%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1964 |
ZAG
3 - 2
GRA
54%
19%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |