Conference League Last 16
Global 2-1
Roma vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UDI
1 - 1
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 1
ROM
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ROM
1 - 0
ATL
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SPE
0 - 1
ROM
15%
19%
66%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ROM
2 - 2
VER
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
HER
0 - 0
VIT
23%
24%
54%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 1
ROM
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 1
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
VIT
2 - 0
RAP
36%
24%
40%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
UTR
1 - 1
VIT
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |