Roma vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1948 |
ACM
2 - 2
ROM
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 2
LAZ
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1948 |
PRO
2 - 2
ROM
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 1
ROM
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
ROM
0 - 2
BOL
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
BOL
2 - 1
VIC
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1948 |
VIC
3 - 2
SAM
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1948 |
MOD
2 - 0
VIC
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
VIC
2 - 1
NAP
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1948 |
VIC
0 - 4
TOR
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |