Roma vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 0
ROM
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 2
TRI
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
GEN
0 - 2
ROM
68%
18%
14%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 2
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 0
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
VIC
0 - 1
GEN
28%
22%
50%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
VIC
0 - 0
JUV
20%
20%
59%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1943 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIC
64%
18%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
VIC
2 - 2
INT
30%
22%
49%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
BAR
0 - 0
VIC
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |